Hot October inflation lifts yields, chips slide as Fed hike bets build
Market & SentimentStocks closed lower after October inflation beat expectations, with the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 each off 0.68% and the S&P 500 down 0.37%. Breadth was nearly flat at 244 advancers to 248 decliners, yet 67.8% of stocks sit above their 50-day average and 29 hit 52-week highs against 5 lows — a market cooling at the index level while most names hold up.
Sectors & StocksInformation technology fell 1.5%, the clear laggard, as Nvidia dropped 5.47% on governance concerns and a reported FBI probe, dragging AI server names. Financials (+0.49%), consumer discretionary (+0.42%) and energy (+0.32%) led. Broadcom rose 3.91% after joining Anthropic's $26 billion placement; CVS gained 4.41%, Allstate 2.89% and KKR 2.81%. Moderna fell 6.75% and GE Vernova 3.89%.
Rates, FX & CryptoThe 2-year yield jumped 17bp to 4.73% and the 10-year rose 10bp to 4.98% on the inflation surprise, leaving the 2s10s spread at just 25bp. Fed officials opened the door to a half-point hike, and Logan called for two more. The dollar firmed; EUR/USD rose 0.19% to 1.1214 while USD/CNY slipped 0.04%. Bitcoin fell 1.99% to $73,698 and Ether 3.85%.
Earnings & AnnouncementsTransDigm beat Q4 estimates with revenue up 23% year over year and organic sales up 14%, though margin pressure and debt shape its fiscal 2027 outlook. CoreWeave reported Q3 revenue up 168% and raised full-year guidance. FinDog moved Regions Financial from Neutral to Bullish. Chevron agreed to sell a 25% stake in Namibia's PEL82 license to QatarEnergy.
- Disney and CoreWeave report earnings after the close
- Fed speakers and any response to the hot CPI print
- Whether Nvidia's slide spreads further across AI hardware
- Oil reaction to shifting Iran rhetoric
- October CPI beat forecasts, pushing Treasury yields higher and weighing on equities as investors reassessed the path of Fed policy.Reuters11-10 14:51 UTC
- After inflation topped expectations, Fed officials signaled a larger increase is possible, sharpening the risk of tighter policy into year-end.Reuters11-10 15:50 UTC
- Logan said two additional hikes may be needed, possibly in quick succession, reinforcing the hawkish repricing reflected in the 2-year yield.Reuters11-10 15:55 UTC
- Economists surveyed expect another rate increase in December as inflation risks remain elevated, keeping pressure on rate-sensitive assets.Reuters11-10 14:35 UTC
- Nvidia and memory names extended losses after the inflation report, with the chipmaker at its most extreme selling level since 2019 even as most S&P 500 stocks held up.
- Lawmakers want answers on Nvidia and tighter China chip restrictions, adding a policy overhang to the company's governance concerns.
- Anthropic's amended IPO filing makes Alphabet and Nvidia the largest buyers in a $26 billion private placement priced alongside the offering.
- Anthropic announced tools that could rival Microsoft's Office suite, pressuring shares of the software giant.
- Crude fell as Trump said military action against Iran is not necessary 'at this point,' easing supply fears and supporting energy shares.
- TransDigm topped earnings and revenue estimates, though acquisitions, margin pressure and debt shape its fiscal 2027 outlook.
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